Value Betting and the Chebyshev Inequality
The Chebyshev Inequality states that ~89% of values fall within 3 standard deviations of the mean. Is this true for the Value Betting Engine, when mean and variance…
Category: Business
8th Kelly Criterion Formula Breakdown
Example: Coeur Mining Step 1: Define Stake: $1.00 Step 4: Define Decimal Odds of Winning: 1 + Odds of Winning Step 4: Define Decimal Odds of Losing: 1…
One Year Ago…
…Gamma Testing of the Value Betting Engine (VBE) commenced. Today, the VBE has been released into our production environment. The VBE generates the following output: EDGE* POSITIVE DYNAMIC…
$HUI — Deck Stacked in Bulls’ Favor
The implied probability of the AMEX Gold Bugs Index rising to a Positive Dynamic Value of ~291 over the short-term is 66%.
FCM Weekly Totalizator : Example
As Advantage Players, we place bets on issues with Positive Dynamic Value (+DV); where the market has overpriced the odds of continued loss; where +DV probability rests on…
$HL — Hecla Edge Best Since May 2019
Current Edge = 7% Current (2021) Odds LEVEL PRICE ODDS DECIMAL MONEYLINE IMPLIED PROBABILITY R6 31.43 31/4 8.75 +775 11% R5 11.48 4/1 5.00 +400 20% R4 9.18…
$MNRLF : Mineral Mountain — Cochrane Target Background
On another note, Mineral Mountain has 3/5 odds of rising to US $0.27 and 5/3 odds of rising to US $0.35 with positive results from its upcoming 9,000-meter…
Value Betting Opportunities with Extreme Edges
SYMBOL EDGE BETTING POSTURE AXU 3% BET LONG CDE 3% BET LONG EXN 3% BET LONG GAU 1% BET LONG HL 6% BET LONG NORZF 2% BET LONG…
FCM Holdings — Current Discounts
HOLDING CURRENT DISCOUNT HECLA MINING 53% ALAMOS GOLD 54% YAMANA GOLD 60% EQUINOX GOLD 61% HARMONY GOLD 66% IAMGOLD 67% COEUR MINING 68% HOCHSCHILD MINING 70% GALIANO GOLD…
$NORZF: NorZinc — Deep Value Opportunity
NorZinc — Current Value Betting Edge = 7% (> o% = Actionable)
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