$HUI — Deck Stacked in Bulls’ Favor Post date October 29, 2021 Post categories In Business The implied probability of the AMEX Gold Bugs Index rising to a Positive Dynamic Value of ~291 over the short-term is 66%. Post navigation ←Previous post:FCM Weekly Totalizator : Example→Next post:One Year Ago… Leave a Reply Cancel replyComment * Name * Email * Website Notify me of follow-up comments by email. Notify me of new posts by email. Δ
How We Bet, Part IV: Is the Odds Engine a Cure for Common Estimation Errors? In our experience, yes: It protects us from asymmetric skewing. It is of a union between projections of future value and bias that asymmetric skewing is born. What… Post date February 3, 2020
$HL — Hecla Edge Best Since May 2019 Current Edge = 7% Current (2021) Odds LEVEL PRICE ODDS DECIMAL MONEYLINE IMPLIED PROBABILITY R6 31.43 31/4 8.75 +775 11% R5 11.48 4/1 5.00 +400 20% R4 9.18… Post date October 13, 2021