$CDE : Coeur Mining — Conditional Probabilities
This is the basic formula with which our Odds Engine works through Conditional Probabilities: Given recent moves in Coeur Mining, we are now able to compute the following…
Tag: Investing
$EGY $TGA : Energy Stakes Started
Symbol Name Price Target Implied Probability EGY Vaalco Energy .88 3.49 23% TGA Transglobe Energy .40 2.43 28%
If you don’t have anything nice to say, don’t say anything at all.
Fahy Capital Management has weathered the downturn well, with a loss of a mere 2.6% (Now up 28% in absolute terms as of April 20, 2020). And because…
FCM Business Update
Stake in Yamana Gold Inc. Raised to 2.99% (AVG PX 4.07) Stake in Victoria Gold Corp. Raised to 3.34% (AVG PX 4.54) Stake in Pure Gold Mining Raised…
$NIOBF : NioCorp Returns to Buy Zone
We initiated a position in NioCorp this morning. For more information, please refer to our Economic Analysis, dated 22 July 2019. Long-Term Price Case $3,676/kg Sc2O3 | $0.99/kg…
/SI : First Major Buy Signal for Silver Triggered Since May 2019
A Major Buy Signal flashed this A.M. in Silver. It is the first such signal since May 13 of last year. If Silver overshoots and drops to $16.60,…
$CDE $VNNHF $VGZ : Armageddon It — Cash is King
NuChemICF Updates, 27 February 2020 Please be aware, but not too aware, that a not-pandemic is definitely not going to happen, but is happening maybe. If not now,…
$GUYFF : Guyana Goldfields — Raising Stake in Marginal Producer with Fair Odds of Recovery
Odds of recovery to $1.07 over the next 18 months stand at 8/5. In other words, Guyana Goldfields has Moneyline odds of +160, or an Implied Probability of…
$HUI : Know Your Odds
PRICE ODDS IMPLIED PROBABILITY DECIMAL MONEYLINE 265.22 2/9 81.82% 1.22 -450 291.26 5/6 54.55% 1.83 -120 333.40 15/7 31.82% 3.14 +214 404.85 10/1 9.09% 11.00 +1000 A few…
$SBGL: Sibanye — The End of the Road
We never imagined riding Sibanye-Stillwater to a price-point that exceeded our initial target on the back of Palladium, but that’s what happened. Palladium, however, is not a trade…
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