Value Betting and the Chebyshev Inequality
The Chebyshev Inequality states that ~89% of values fall within 3 standard deviations of the mean. Is this true for the Value Betting Engine, when mean and variance…
Tag: Value Betting
FCM Weekly Totalizator : Example
As Advantage Players, we place bets on issues with Positive Dynamic Value (+DV); where the market has overpriced the odds of continued loss; where +DV probability rests on…
Value Betting Opportunities with Extreme Edges
SYMBOL EDGE BETTING POSTURE AXU 3% BET LONG CDE 3% BET LONG EXN 3% BET LONG GAU 1% BET LONG HL 6% BET LONG NORZF 2% BET LONG…
$DYLLF : Deep Yellow — The Odds (2021-2022 and Beyond)
Overall Odds Deep Yellow has 11/1 odds (8% implied probability) of rising to US $2.42 before the end of FY21, while it has 16/7 odds (30% implied probability)…
Business Update
Fahy Capital Management Performance & Activities Net of expenses, the absolute return of our flagship fund is 42% (14% annualized rate of return). Our debt-to-capital ratio stands at…
Only 14 Times in 45 Years Has an Edge in Gold this Good Developed
Present Edge = 4% Meanwhile, the 2nd best edge in the GDX since its inception has developed (9%), rivaled only by a reading that accompanied the instrument’s January…
2021 TOTE BOARD | RACE 5
SYMBOL PRICE UK ODDS IMPLIED PROBABILITY MONEYLINE CURRENT DISCOUNT EXIT DATE IVPAF 9.23 5/3 38% +167 36% AG 23.08 8/5 38% +160 39% 2/1/21 AGI 16.39 7/3 30%…
Value Betting Opportunities: An Update
1.) The Signal-Discount Spread, which was developed in parallel with the Value Betting Engine (VBE), has been deprecated; the VBE formula now stands alone. 2.) — 3.) Value…
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